Manchester City vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Etihad Stadium, Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Fulham. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (2,469 vs 2,197).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchester City vs Fulham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchester City
4-2-3-1- 9E. Haaland
- 10R. Cherki
- 7I. Ndiaye
- 17E. Fernández
- 5E. Anderson
- 11J. Doku
- 3Rúben Dias
- 6M. Guéhi
- 24J. Gvardiol
- 45A. Khusanov
- 1G. Donnarumma
Fulham
4-2-3-1- 7Gonzalo García
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 17A. Iwobi
- 24Joshua King
- 19S. Charles
- 16S. Berge
- 3C. Bassey
- 22D. Affengruber
- 21T. Castagne
- 33A. Robinson
- 1B. Leno
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Fulham have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Manchester City wins, 0 draws, 0 Fulham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Manchester City 3-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Fulham 4-5 Manchester City | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Fulham 0-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Manchester City 3-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | Fulham 0-4 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Manchester City 5-1 Fulham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester City vs Fulham on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Fulham | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester City sit 1st in Premier League (21 points from 8 matches) and Fulham sit 15th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 21 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Manchester City vs Fulham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester City vs Fulham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Manchester City vs Fulham played?
- Manchester City vs Fulham is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Etihad Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.