Manchester City vs Real Madrid: result 2-3 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueKnockout Round Play-offsKick-off on February 11, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Manchester City vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 2-3 on February 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′E. HaalandManchester City
- 60′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 80′E. HaalandManchester City (pen.)
- 86′Brahim DíazReal Madrid
- 90′J. BellinghamReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Madrid have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Arsenal(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Leganes(away) | 3-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Espanyol(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Valladolid(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Manchester City win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Real Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | Manchester City 1-1 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Real Madrid 3-3 Manchester City | UEFA Champions League |
| May 17, 2023 | Manchester City 4-0 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| May 9, 2023 | Real Madrid 1-1 Manchester City | UEFA Champions League |
| May 4, 2022 | Real Madrid 3-1 Manchester City | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Manchester City 4-3 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester City vs Real Madrid on Apr 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 3.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Real Madrid | 3.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester City sit 8th in UEFA Champions League (16 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid sit 9th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy