Manchester United U21 vs Valencia U21: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on January 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester
The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Valencia U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester United U21 vs Valencia U21?
Manchester United U21 starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United U21 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Valencia U21 have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 5-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Brighton U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 8, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 4-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 4, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb U21(away) | 3-4 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | West Bromwich Albion U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Crystal Palace U21(away) | 1-0 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Leicester City U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League International Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United U21 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Valencia U21 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester United U21 vs Valencia U21?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Valencia U21.
- Where and when is Manchester United U21 vs Valencia U21 played?
- Manchester United U21 vs Valencia U21 is played on January 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II