Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 26Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Nottingham Forest (2,040) and Manchester United (2,078).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 21X. Schlager
- 3N. Williams
- 24J. McAtee
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 27D. Muñoz
- 14D. Ndoye
- 5Murillo
- 23Jair
- 31N. Milenković
- 26M. Sels
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 19B. Mbeumo
- 16A. Diallo
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 18Y. Tielemans
- 37K. Mainoo
- 5H. Maguire
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 15L. Yoro
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 1S. Lammens
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Manchester United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nottingham Forest wins, 1 draw, 2 Manchester United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Manchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 2-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Manchester United 2-3 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Manchester United | FA Cup |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Nottingham Forest 2-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 16th in Premier League (9 points from 10 matches) and Manchester United sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.