Mandel United vs Harelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Arena, Izegem
The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Harelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mandel United vs Harelbeke?
Mandel United starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mandel United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Harelbeke have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | VW Hamme(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | HO Kalken(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mechelen II(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | FC Lebbeke(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Londerzeel(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Mandel United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Harelbeke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mandel United 1-0 Harelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Harelbeke 1-3 Mandel United | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Harelbeke 0-1 Mandel United | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Mandel United 0-2 Harelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Harelbeke 0-2 Mandel United | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Mandel United 1-0 Harelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Mandel United vs Harelbeke on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mandel United score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Harelbeke score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Harelbeke | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mandel United vs Harelbeke?
- The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Harelbeke.
- Where and when is Mandel United vs Harelbeke played?
- Mandel United vs Harelbeke is played on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Skyline Arena, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.