Mandel United vs Spouwen-Mopertingen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Arena, Izegem
The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Spouwen-Mopertingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mandel United vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Mandel United (1,967) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mandel United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | VW Hamme(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | HO Kalken(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mechelen II(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | FC Lebbeke(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Mandel United score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mandel United vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
- The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Spouwen-Mopertingen.
- Where and when is Mandel United vs Spouwen-Mopertingen played?
- Mandel United vs Spouwen-Mopertingen is played on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Skyline Arena, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.