Manfredonia vs Nardò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Miramare, Manfredonia
The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Nardò. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manfredonia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manfredonia vs Nardò?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Manfredonia (1,616) and Nardò (1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manfredonia vs Nardò
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manfredonia
Not enough data to predict the Manfredonia lineup.
Nardò
Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manfredonia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nardò have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Manfredonia wins, 2 draws, 2 Nardò wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nardò 2-0 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Manfredonia 1-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Nardò 0-1 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Manfredonia 1-3 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Manfredonia 1-0 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Nardò 1-1 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Manfredonia score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nardò score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manfredonia | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Nardò | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manfredonia sit 8th in Serie D - Girone H (11 points from 7 matches) and Nardò sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manfredonia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 15 | Nardò | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Manfredonia vs Nardò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manfredonia vs Nardò?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Nardò.
- Where and when is Manfredonia vs Nardò played?
- Manfredonia vs Nardò is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miramare, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.