Ebolitana vs Real Normanna: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H · Matchday 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Real Normanna the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Ebolitana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Normanna wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,486 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebolitana vs Real Normanna?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Ebolitana (1,678) and Real Normanna (1,733).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebolitana vs Real Normanna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebolitana
Not enough data to predict the Ebolitana lineup.
Real Normanna
Not enough data to predict the Real Normanna lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 02:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Ebolitana have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Normanna have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Brindisi(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Manfredonia(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 6-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gladiator(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Ebolitana score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Real Normanna score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebolitana | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/11 | 4/11 |
| Real Normanna | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebolitana sit 14th in Serie D - Girone H (10 points from 11 matches) and Real Normanna sit 11th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Real Normanna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Ebolitana | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Ebolitana vs Real Normanna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebolitana vs Real Normanna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Normanna the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Ebolitana.
- Where and when is Ebolitana vs Real Normanna played?
- Ebolitana vs Real Normanna is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.