Match

Melfi vs Real Forio 2014: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi

MelfiReal Forio 2014

The Footlab AI model makes Melfi the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Real Forio 2014. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melfi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melfi vs Real Forio 2014?

On Elo ratings, Melfi has 1,499 points and Real Forio 2014 1,610.

39%30%31%
Melfi winDrawReal Forio 2014 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Melfi vs Real Forio 2014

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Melfi

4-3-3
  1. 7Davide Lodesani
  2. 18Alessandro De Vena
  3. 20Gianluca De Angelis
  1. 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
  2. 17A. Esposito
  3. 24A. Gammone
  1. 5G. Laezza
  2. 15M. Russu
  3. 13L. Libutti
  4. 9C. Foggia
  1. 1R. Gragnaniello

Real Forio 2014

Not enough data to predict the Real Forio 2014 lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Real Forio 2014 have 2, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melfi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ischia(away)0-3Serie D - Girone H
Oct 4, 2026Nocerina(home)0-1Serie D - Girone H
Sep 27, 2026Ebolitana(away)0-1Serie D - Girone H
Sep 20, 2026Francavilla(home)2-1Serie D - Girone H
Sep 16, 2026Nardò(away)0-0Serie D - Girone H
Real Forio 2014
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Virtus Francavilla(away)0-2Serie D - Girone H
Oct 4, 2026Fidelis Andria(away)1-2Serie D - Girone H
Sep 27, 2026Manfredonia(home)1-2Serie D - Girone H
Sep 20, 2026Gravina(away)2-2Serie D - Girone H
Sep 16, 2026Gladiator(home)2-1Serie D - Girone H

How many goals should we expect?

Melfi score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Forio 2014 score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Melfi0.61.334/155/15
Real Forio 20141.41.705/75/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Melfi sit 18th in Serie D - Girone H (4 points from 7 matches) and Real Forio 2014 sit 12th (7 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Real Forio 2014721410127
18Melfi7115294

A question about Melfi vs Real Forio 2014?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melfi vs Real Forio 2014?
The Footlab AI model makes Melfi the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Real Forio 2014.
Where and when is Melfi vs Real Forio 2014 played?
Melfi vs Real Forio 2014 is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Melfi and Real Forio 2014

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