Manonyane vs Lioli: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nyakosoba Ground, Nyakosoba
The Footlab AI model makes Lioli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Manonyane. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lioli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manonyane vs Lioli?
Lioli starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,428).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manonyane vs Lioli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manonyane
Not enough data to predict the Manonyane lineup.
Lioli
Not enough data to predict the Lioli lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manonyane have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lioli have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Linare(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lijabatho(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | LDF(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Limkokwing University(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Lifofane(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Majantja(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lijabatho(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Machokha(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mzamane(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Linare(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Manonyane wins, 2 draws, 4 Lioli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Lioli 1-1 Manonyane | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Manonyane 0-0 Lioli | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Lioli 3-0 Manonyane | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Manonyane 0-1 Lioli | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Lioli 2-1 Manonyane | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Manonyane 0-1 Lioli | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Manonyane score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lioli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manonyane | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lioli | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manonyane sit 7th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Lioli sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lioli | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Manonyane | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Manonyane vs Lioli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manonyane vs Lioli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lioli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Manonyane.
- Where and when is Manonyane vs Lioli played?
- Manonyane vs Lioli is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nyakosoba Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.