Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mansfield Town wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
On Elo ratings, Mansfield Town has 1,868 points and AFC Wimbledon 1,788.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1- 9J. Stockley
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 3S. Seddon
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 33I. Ogundere
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mansfield Town wins, 3 draws, 1 AFC Wimbledon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mansfield Town 2-2 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Dec 13, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Jan 27, 2024 | AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Mansfield Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Mar 4, 2023 | AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Mansfield Town 5-2 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 13th in League One (12 points from 9 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 15th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.