Plymouth vs Stevenage: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Stevenage?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Plymouth (1,919) and Stevenage (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Stevenage have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Plymouth win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stevenage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Plymouth 1-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Stevenage 1-1 Plymouth | League One |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Stevenage 1-2 Plymouth | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Plymouth 2-1 Stevenage | League Two |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Plymouth 1-0 Stevenage | FA Cup |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Plymouth 4-2 Stevenage | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth vs Stevenage on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Stevenage | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth sit 22nd in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Stevenage sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Stevenage?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Stevenage played?
- Plymouth vs Stevenage is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.