Plymouth vs Stevenage: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plymouth wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Stevenage?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Plymouth (1,848) and Stevenage (1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plymouth vs Stevenage
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plymouth
3-4-3- 9W. Evans
- 27A. Pepple
- 10X. Amaechi
- 7H. White
- 8J. Edwards
- 14O. Irow
- 19T. Bakinson
- 45W. Harding
- 15A. Mitchell
- 5Julio Pleguezuelo
- 21James Storer
Stevenage
4-4-1-1- 9J. Magennis
- 8D. Phillips
- 27B. Broggio
- 23L. Thompson
- 44P. Patterson
- 18O. Sanderson
- 5C. Piergianni
- 14S. Earley
- 15T. Vancooten
- 16K. Casey
- 1T. Setford
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Stevenage have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 3-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Plymouth wins, 1 draw, 1 Stevenage win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stevenage 3-0 Plymouth | League One |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Plymouth 1-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Stevenage 1-1 Plymouth | League One |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Stevenage 1-2 Plymouth | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Plymouth 2-1 Stevenage | League Two |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Plymouth 1-0 Stevenage | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Plymouth on Oct 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Stevenage | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth sit 5th in League One (23 points from 14 matches) and Stevenage sit 16th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
A question about Plymouth vs Stevenage?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Stevenage?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Stevenage played?
- Plymouth vs Stevenage is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.