Mansfield Town vs Reading: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Reading. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Reading?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Mansfield Town (1,834) and Reading (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Reading have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luton(home) | 3-4 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mansfield Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Reading win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Mansfield Town 1-0 Reading | League One |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Reading 1-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Mansfield Town 1-5 Reading | League One |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Reading 2-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs Reading on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Reading | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 11th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Reading sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Reading?
- The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Reading.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Reading played?
- Mansfield Town vs Reading is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.