Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars: result 2-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 23Kick-off on February 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Green Stadium, Awendo
Full time
What was the result of Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
Mara Sugar won 2-1 on February 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 34′642566Mara Sugar
- 45′643573Mara Sugar
- 83′661634Ulinzi Stars
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mara Sugar have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Ulinzi Stars have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 3-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 0-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Police(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 3-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mara Sugar win, 1 draw, 1 Ulinzi Stars win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-2 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar on Oct 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mara Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ulinzi Stars score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mara Sugar sit 7th in FKF Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Ulinzi Stars sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy