Marbella vs Lorca Deportiva: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2nd Phase - 3Kick-off on April 18, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella
Full time
What was the result of Marbella vs Lorca Deportiva?
Marbella won 2-1 on April 18, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 32′ChumbiMarbella
- 35′Andrés CarrascoLorca Deportiva
- 78′Álex BernalMarbella
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | Granada II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2021 | El Ejido(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Linense(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | San Fernando CD(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Las Palmas II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | Marino(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 3, 2021 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Sevilla Atletico(home) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Granada II(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marbella score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 1.0 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbella sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 4 (34 points from 26 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 7th (19 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marbella | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 7 | Lorca Deportiva | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 49 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy