Peña Deportiva vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, Ibiza
The Footlab AI model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Peña Deportiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Lorca Deportiva?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Peña Deportiva (1,846) and Lorca Deportiva (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Peña Deportiva vs Lorca Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Peña Deportiva
Not enough data to predict the Peña Deportiva lineup.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Deportiva have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Deportiva score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Deportiva | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peña Deportiva sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 10 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 8th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 17 | Peña Deportiva | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Peña Deportiva vs Lorca Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Deportiva vs Lorca Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Peña Deportiva vs Lorca Deportiva played?
- Peña Deportiva vs Lorca Deportiva is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.