Marchamalo vs San Clemente: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Deportivo La Solana, Marchamalo
The Footlab model makes Marchamalo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for San Clemente. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marchamalo vs San Clemente?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Marchamalo (1,706) and San Clemente (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marchamalo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; San Clemente have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Sonseca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Azuqueca(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | La Solana(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Toledo(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cazalegas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Marchamalo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 San Clemente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | San Clemente 1-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Marchamalo 3-0 San Clemente | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Marchamalo 4-1 San Clemente | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | San Clemente 0-2 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: San Clemente vs Marchamalo on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marchamalo score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; San Clemente score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marchamalo | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| San Clemente | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marchamalo sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (37 points from 34 matches) and San Clemente sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 47 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 45 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marchamalo vs San Clemente?
- The Footlab model makes Marchamalo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for San Clemente.
- Where and when is Marchamalo vs San Clemente played?
- Marchamalo vs San Clemente is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Deportivo La Solana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.