Marek vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs Ludogorets II?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Marek (1,645) and Ludogorets II (1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marek win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ludogorets II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Ludogorets II 4-0 Marek | Second League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Marek 1-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| May 24, 2025 | Ludogorets II 0-2 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Marek 3-2 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Ludogorets II 0-0 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Marek 1-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Marek on Dec 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs Ludogorets II?
- The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ludogorets II.
- Where and when is Marek vs Ludogorets II played?
- Marek vs Ludogorets II is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027BeroevsCSKA Sofia II
- May 29, 2027NesebarvsSpartak Pleven
- May 29, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsHebar 1918
- May 29, 2027DobrudzhavsMontana
- May 29, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsVihren
- May 29, 2027Yantra 2019vsFratria
- May 29, 2027Rilski SportistvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- May 29, 2027Sportist SvogevsEtar Veliko Tarnovo