Match

Marek vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

MarekLudogorets II

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Ludogorets II?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Marek (1,645) and Ludogorets II (1,635).

Marek win47 %
Draw28 %
Ludogorets II win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League
Ludogorets II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026CSKA Sofia II(away)1-1Second League
Aug 18, 2026Vihren(home)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Beroe(away)0-2Second League
Aug 3, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)2-1Second League
Jul 28, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marek win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ludogorets II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 2, 2025Ludogorets II 4-0 MarekSecond League
Jul 26, 2025Marek 1-0 Ludogorets IISecond League
May 24, 2025Ludogorets II 0-2 MarekSecond League
Nov 30, 2024Marek 3-2 Ludogorets IISecond League
Mar 15, 2024Ludogorets II 0-0 MarekSecond League
Sep 1, 2023Marek 1-0 Ludogorets IISecond League

Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Marek on Dec 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marek1.00.974/156/15
Ludogorets II1.31.339/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Ludogorets II5212467
12Marek5203666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Ludogorets II?
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ludogorets II.
Where and when is Marek vs Ludogorets II played?
Marek vs Ludogorets II is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?