Where and when is Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven played?

Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

Nesebar

Spartak Pleven

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,595).

Nesebar win58 %

Draw24 %

Spartak Pleven win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

Spartak Pleven
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Beroe(away)	0-3	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)	0-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Rilski Sportist(away)	2-2	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Marek(home)	2-1	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Yantra 2019(away)	2-0	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nesebar win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Spartak Pleven win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2025	Nesebar 1-2 Spartak Pleven	Second League
Sep 7, 2024	Spartak Pleven 1-0 Nesebar	Second League
Apr 30, 2017	Nesebar 3-1 Spartak Pleven	Second League
Oct 29, 2016	Spartak Pleven 2-0 Nesebar	Second League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15
Spartak Pleven	1.4	1.6	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 4th in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
9	Spartak Pleven	5	2	1	2	6	7	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Spartak Pleven.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven played?: Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.