Ludogorets II vs Marek: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Marek?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Ludogorets II (1,630) and Marek (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ludogorets II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Marek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Ludogorets II 4-0 Marek | Second League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Marek 1-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| May 24, 2025 | Ludogorets II 0-2 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Marek 3-2 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Ludogorets II 0-0 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Marek 1-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Marek on Dec 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets II sit 13th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Marek sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Ludogorets II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets II vs Marek?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Marek.
- Where and when is Ludogorets II vs Marek played?
- Ludogorets II vs Marek is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsSportist Svoge
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsBeroe
- Nov 21, 2026Spartak PlevenvsNesebar
- Nov 21, 2026MontanavsDobrudzha
- Nov 21, 2026Hebar 1918vsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Nov 21, 2026VihrenvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Nov 21, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsRilski Sportist
- Nov 21, 2026FratriavsYantra 2019