Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 22Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Davit Abashidzis Sakhelobis Stadioni, Zestaponi
The Footlab model makes Margveti 2006 the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Gardabani. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani?
Margveti 2006 starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,245 vs 1,120).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Margveti 2006 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gardabani have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Irao(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | WIT Georgia(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Varketili(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 1-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi II(away) | 4-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Didube 2014(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Irao(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | WIT Georgia(home) | 0-5 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Iberia 2010(home) | 1-5 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Varketili(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Margveti 2006 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gardabani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Gardabani 4-1 Margveti 2006 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Margveti 2006 2-1 Gardabani | Liga 3 |
| May 23, 2025 | Gardabani 5-1 Margveti 2006 | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Gardabani vs Margveti 2006 on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Margveti 2006 score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gardabani score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margveti 2006 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gardabani | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Margveti 2006 sit 11th in Liga 3 (21 points from 18 matches) and Gardabani sit 13th (13 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 21 |
| 13 | Gardabani | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani?
- The Footlab model makes Margveti 2006 the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Gardabani.
- Where and when is Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani played?
- Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani is played on September 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Davit Abashidzis Sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.