Maria da Fonte vs Brito: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 16Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Moinhos Novos, Póvoa de Lanhoso
The Footlab AI model makes Maria da Fonte the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Brito. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maria da Fonte wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maria da Fonte vs Brito?
On Elo ratings, Maria da Fonte has 1,731 points and Brito 1,852.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maria da Fonte vs Brito
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maria da Fonte
4-3-3- 27João Antunes
- 10Henrique Vieira
- 70João Araújo
- 6Davide Caseiro
- AAndré Faria
- 8Dino Fernandes
- 21Cabreira
- 24Leandro Albano
- 83Wilson Oliveira
- 5Rafael Pereira
- 1Paulo Jorge
Brito
4-3-3- 11R. Miranda
- 3R. Almeida
- 29H. Abreu
- 15R. Andre
- 48R. Machado
- 6D. Lopes
- 20Miguel Dias
- 5Filipe Gusmao
- 2D. Reis
- 14R. Oliveira
- 13J. Vitoria
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maria da Fonte have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Brito have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 2-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Maria da Fonte win, 0 draws, 3 Brito wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Brito 2-1 Maria da Fonte | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Maria da Fonte 1-2 Brito | Taça de Portugal |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Maria da Fonte 2-1 Brito | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Brito 2-0 Maria da Fonte | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Brito vs Maria da Fonte on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maria da Fonte score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brito score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria da Fonte | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Brito | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maria da Fonte sit 13th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (4 points from 6 matches) and Brito sit 11th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brito | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 13 | Maria da Fonte | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Maria da Fonte vs Brito?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maria da Fonte vs Brito?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maria da Fonte the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Brito.
- Where and when is Maria da Fonte vs Brito played?
- Maria da Fonte vs Brito is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Moinhos Novos, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.