Maria da Fonte vs Celoricense: result 0-1 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 2Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Moinhos Novos, Póvoa de Lanhoso
Full time
What was the result of Maria da Fonte vs Celoricense?
Celoricense won 0-1 on August 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 80′Arafat Al HajCeloricense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a draw at 42%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 0-0. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maria da Fonte have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Celoricense have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Brito(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Arouca(home) | 0-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Lajense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montalegre(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Machico(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Brito(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 22, 2026 | AR São Martinho(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Maria da Fonte score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celoricense score 1.0 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria da Fonte | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Celoricense | 1.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maria da Fonte sit 12th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (3 points from 4 matches) and Celoricense sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Maria da Fonte | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Maria da Fonte vs Celoricense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy