Maribor vs Brinje-Grosuplje: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ljudski vrt, Maribor
The Footlab model makes Maribor the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Brinje-Grosuplje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maribor vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
Maribor starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maribor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Brinje-Grosuplje have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Koper(home) | 2-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(home) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 2-4 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mura(home) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Koper(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-3 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maribor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Brinje-Grosuplje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maribor 3-0 Brinje-Grosuplje | 1. SNL |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Brinje-Grosuplje 1-1 Maribor | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maribor vs Brinje-Grosuplje on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maribor score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brinje-Grosuplje score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maribor sit 1st in 1. SNL (12 points from 6 matches) and Brinje-Grosuplje sit 9th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maribor vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
- The Footlab model makes Maribor the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Brinje-Grosuplje.
- Where and when is Maribor vs Brinje-Grosuplje played?
- Maribor vs Brinje-Grosuplje is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ljudski vrt, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.