Marília vs Portuguesa: result 1-2 and analysis
Copa PaulistaFinalsKick-off on December 20, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs Portuguesa?
Portuguesa won 1-2 on December 20, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 10′GeninhoMarília
- 28′CaíquePortuguesa
- 81′Adilson BahiaPortuguesa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Portuguesa have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2020 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 13, 2020 | XV de Piracicaba(home) | 3-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Ferroviária(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Ferroviária(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Velo Clube(home) | 3-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2020 | São Bernardo(home) | 3-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 12, 2020 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Água Santa(home) | 1-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Água Santa(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Nacional SP(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portuguesa score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Portuguesa | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy