Marília vs Portuguesa: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa PaulistaSemi-finalsKick-off on October 1, 2022 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs Portuguesa?
Marília won 2-1 on October 1, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 16′AlbertMarília
- 47′AlbertMarília
- 64′Caio ManchaPortuguesa (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Portuguesa have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2022 | Portuguesa(away) | 2-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Noroeste(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Noroeste(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 3-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Comercial(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2022 | Marília(home) | 2-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 2-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Desportivo Brasil(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 3, 2022 | São Caetano(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 27, 2022 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 2-3 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Marília win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Portuguesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2022 | Portuguesa 2-2 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Portuguesa 3-2 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Marília 1-2 Portuguesa | Copa Paulista |
Last archived meeting: Portuguesa vs Marília on Sep 24, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portuguesa score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Portuguesa | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy