Where and when is Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife played?

Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)

Marino

Real Unión de Tenerife

The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Real Unión de Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Marino (1,705) and Real Unión de Tenerife (1,753).

Marino win41 %

Draw32 %

Real Unión de Tenerife win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 0 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats; Real Unión de Tenerife have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Tenerife(home)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Real Unión de Tenerife
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Lanzarote(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Las Palmas III(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marino win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	Marino 0-0 Real Unión de Tenerife	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 14, 2025	Real Unión de Tenerife 0-0 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marino	0.7	1.5	3	8/15	5/15
Real Unión de Tenerife	1.0	0.7	6	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marino sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (39 points from 34 matches) and Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Real Unión de Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34	32	45
12	Marino	34	8	15	11	44	40	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife?: The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Real Unión de Tenerife.
Where and when is Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife played?: Marino vs Real Unión de Tenerife is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.