Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?

Las Palmas III vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Las Palmas III vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas III

Unión Sur Yaiza

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas III vs Unión Sur Yaiza?

Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,712).

Las Palmas III win64 %

Draw23 %

Unión Sur Yaiza win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	San Miguel(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Atlético Paso(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tenisca(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Unión Sur Yaiza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Telde(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Arucas(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Mensajero(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Las Palmas III win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Unión Sur Yaiza win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza 0-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 6, 2025	Las Palmas III 0-1 Unión Sur Yaiza	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Mar 19, 2022	Unión Sur Yaiza 1-0 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 6, 2021	Las Palmas III 3-1 Unión Sur Yaiza	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Unión Sur Yaiza vs Las Palmas III on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas III	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	5/15
Unión Sur Yaiza	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Palmas III sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (54 points from 34 matches) and Unión Sur Yaiza sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Las Palmas III	34	15	9	10	58	42	54
13	Unión Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33	43	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs Unión Sur Yaiza?: The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?: Las Palmas III vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.