San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brígida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Villa Santa Brígida. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brígida?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate San Miguel (1,740) and Villa Santa Brígida (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Villa Santa Brígida have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Marino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Miguel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Villa Santa Brígida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | San Miguel 0-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Villa Santa Brígida 2-1 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brígida on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Miguel score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Miguel sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (39 points from 34 matches) and Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brígida?
- The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Villa Santa Brígida.
- Where and when is San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brígida played?
- San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brígida is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026San Fernando CDvsPlayas Sotavento
- Sep 20, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Sep 20, 2026MarinovsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Sep 20, 2026Panadería PulidovsTenerife C
- Sep 20, 2026San BartolomévsEstrella
- Sep 20, 2026Los LlanosvsLaguna de Duero
- Sep 20, 2026AnazavsMensajero
- Sep 20, 2026Villaverde NortevsLanzarote