Maritimo vs Casa Pia: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio do Marítimo, Ilha da Madeira
Full time
What was the result of Maritimo vs Casa Pia?
Maritimo won 1-0 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 61′Raphael GuzzoMaritimo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Maritimo win at 39%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Maritimo vs Casa Pia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Maritimo
4-3-3- 10Martín Tejón
- 17Adrián Butzke
- 11M. Diouri
- 18V. Danilović
- 6Rodrigo Andrade
- 14Raphael Guzzo
- 23Paulo Henrique
- 44Romain Correia
- 4Rafael Fernandes
- 2Igor Julião
- 13Alfonso Pastor
Casa Pia
4-3-3- 10Rochinha
- 9Henrique Araújo
- 13K. Osundina
- 8Gabi Pereira
- 80L. Ofori
- 24S. Pérez
- 5Abdu Conté
- 43David Sousa
- 4João Goulart
- 18Geraldes
- 31André Gomes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maritimo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Casa Pia have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Machico(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 28, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Maritimo wins, 1 draw, 2 Casa Pia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | Casa Pia 2-0 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 3, 2022 | Maritimo 1-2 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Casa Pia 0-0 Maritimo | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Maritimo score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Casa Pia | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maritimo sit 11th in Primeira Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Casa Pia sit 17th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Maritimo vs Casa Pia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy