Guimaraes vs Arouca: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Full time
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Arouca won 0-1 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 53′BarberoArouca
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Guimaraes win at 51%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Guimaraes vs Arouca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1- 24A. Ndoye
- 7O. Camara
- 20Samu
- 11Gustavo
- 8Gonçalo Nogueira
- 16Beni
- 13João Mendes
- 28Thiago Balieiro
- 4Óscar Rivas
- 2Miguel Maga
- 48O. Zych
Arouca
4-2-3-1- 17Barbero
- 7N. Djouahra
- 14Lee Hyun-Ju
- 19A. Trezza
- 8T. Fukui
- 6E. van Ee
- 21Mateo Flores
- 3José Fontán
- 15Javi Sánchez
- 28Tiago Esgaio
- 12I. de Arruabarrena
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Arouca have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Academica(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guimaraes wins, 2 draws, 1 Arouca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Arouca 3-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Guimaraes 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Arouca | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 15th in Primeira Liga (5 points from 8 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy