Match

Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W: prediction and stats

1a Divisão - WomenRegular Season - 8Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Adelino Rodrigues, Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)

Marítimo WRio Ave W

The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave W the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Marítimo W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rio Ave W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Marítimo W (1,623) and Rio Ave W (1,683).

33%27%40%
Marítimo W winDrawRio Ave W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marítimo W

4-3-3
  1. 12E. Costa
  2. 9E. Nemtsov
  3. 25F. Sisse
  1. 2J. Holtz
  2. 5J. Hunt
  3. 10R. Coutinho
  1. 15D. Freitas
  2. 14C. Abreu
  3. 4Gabi Zidoi
  4. 3S. Henrichs
  1. 1N. Panis

Rio Ave W

4-3-3
  1. 9Mélissa Gomes
  2. 21Serena Queirós
  3. 24M. Anthony
  1. 23R. Almeida
  2. 16Z. Gietkowska
  3. 22C. Chiper
  1. 27I. Barge
  2. 2R. Fetty
  3. 5B. Azevedo
  4. 12R. Pereira
  1. 1C. Coster

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:51 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marítimo W have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Rio Ave W have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marítimo W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Torreense W(away)0-81a Divisão - Women
Sep 18, 2026Sporting CP W(away)0-51a Divisão - Women
Sep 12, 2026Sporting Braga W(away)0-51a Divisão - Women
May 30, 2026Albergaria/Durit W(away)0-01a Divisão - Women
May 24, 2026Albergaria/Durit W(home)1-01a Divisão - Women
Rio Ave W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Valadares Gaia W(away)0-11a Divisão - Women
Sep 18, 2026SL Benfica W(home)0-21a Divisão - Women
Sep 13, 2026Torreense W(away)0-31a Divisão - Women
May 31, 2026Gil Vicente W(away)2-01a Divisão - Women
May 23, 2026Gil Vicente W(home)1-11a Divisão - Women

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Marítimo W win, 1 draw, 0 Rio Ave W wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Marítimo W 2-1 Rio Ave W1a Divisão - Women
Oct 26, 2025Rio Ave W 1-1 Marítimo W1a Divisão - Women

Last archived meeting: Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marítimo W score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Ave W score 0.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marítimo W0.72.425/159/15
Rio Ave W0.61.063/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marítimo W sit 9th in 1a Divisão - Women (14 points from 18 matches) and Rio Ave W sit 8th (17 points from 18 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Rio Ave W18459101817
9Marítimo W184212194014

A question about Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W?
The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave W the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Marítimo W.
Where and when is Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W played?
Marítimo W vs Rio Ave W is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Adelino Rodrigues, in the 1a Divisão - Women.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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