Marítimo W vs Valadares Gaia W: prediction and stats
1a Divisão - WomenRegular Season - 14Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Adelino Rodrigues, Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)
The Footlab AI model makes Valadares Gaia W the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Marítimo W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valadares Gaia W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,802 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marítimo W vs Valadares Gaia W?
Valadares Gaia W starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,613).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marítimo W vs Valadares Gaia W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marítimo W
4-3-3- 12E. Costa
- 9E. Nemtsov
- 25F. Sisse
- 2J. Holtz
- 5J. Hunt
- 10R. Coutinho
- 15D. Freitas
- 14C. Abreu
- 4Gabi Zidoi
- 3S. Henrichs
- 1N. Panis
Valadares Gaia W
4-3-3- 9K. Bullock
- 11M. Gestera
- 77I. Silva
- 27M. Nave
- 17V. Marques
- 14G. Marashi
- 7C. Ferreira
- 2S. Monteiro
- 3J. Silva
- 4Marie Mulot
- 31E. Seppi
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 12:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marítimo W have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Valadares Gaia W have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Valadares Gaia W(away) | 1-3 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SL Benfica W(home) | 0-4 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torreense W(away) | 0-8 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sporting CP W(away) | 0-5 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sporting Braga W(away) | 0-5 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Marítimo W(home) | 3-1 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vitoria Guimaraes W(away) | 2-0 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rio Ave W(home) | 1-0 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Power W(away) | 0-1 | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Porto W(home) | 1-3 | 1a Divisão - Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marítimo W wins, 0 draws, 4 Valadares Gaia W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Valadares Gaia W 3-1 Marítimo W | 1a Divisão - Women |
| May 10, 2026 | Marítimo W 0-1 Valadares Gaia W | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Valadares Gaia W 2-3 Marítimo W | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Valadares Gaia W 3-1 Marítimo W | 1a Divisão - Women |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Marítimo W 1-0 Valadares Gaia W | 1a Divisão - Women |
| May 11, 2024 | Marítimo W 0-2 Valadares Gaia W | 1a Divisão - Women |
Last archived meeting: Valadares Gaia W vs Marítimo W on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marítimo W score 0.4 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valadares Gaia W score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marítimo W | 0.4 | 2.7 | 2 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Valadares Gaia W | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marítimo W sit 9th in 1a Divisão - Women (14 points from 18 matches) and Valadares Gaia W sit 4th (26 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Valadares Gaia W | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 26 |
| 9 | Marítimo W | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 14 |
A question about Marítimo W vs Valadares Gaia W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marítimo W vs Valadares Gaia W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valadares Gaia W the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Marítimo W.
- Where and when is Marítimo W vs Valadares Gaia W played?
- Marítimo W vs Valadares Gaia W is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Adelino Rodrigues, in the 1a Divisão - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.