Marko vs Larisa: prediction and stats
Super League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Ethniko Stadio Markopoulou, Markopoulo Mesogeas
The Footlab AI model makes Larisa the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Marko. The most likely score is 1-1. If Larisa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marko vs Larisa?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Marko (1,879) and Larisa (1,888).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marko vs Larisa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marko
4-3-3- 92Sebá
- 9Y. El-Arabi
- 37F. Dettler
- 33Javier Mendoza
- 26Konstantinos Tsaknis
- 7I. Muller
- 30Gertjan Bushaj
- 3Pavlos Smalis
- 15P. Castano
- 19Pavlos Kyriakidis
- 74A. Exarchos
Larisa
4-4-1-1- 14C. Albanis
- 37A. Tsingaras
- 8K. Papageorgiou
- 5G. Kakuta
- 18Z. Chatzistravos
- 55L. Andrada
- 88S. Risvanis
- 66E. Šakić
- 5Timotheos Tselepidis
- 23Michail Bousis
- 1N. Melissas
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marko have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Larisa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(away) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus II(away) | 4-2 | Super League 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Niki Volos(away) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | PAOK II(home) | 1-0 | Super League 2 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(away) | 4-0 | Super League 2 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zakynthos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Marko wins, 1 draw, 0 Larisa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Marko 2-2 Larisa | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Marko score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Larisa score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Larisa | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marko sit 1st in Super League 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Larisa sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Larisa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
A question about Marko vs Larisa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marko vs Larisa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larisa the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Marko.
- Where and when is Marko vs Larisa played?
- Marko vs Larisa is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC) at Ethniko Stadio Markopoulou, in the Super League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.