Maroons vs Kataka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes Maroons the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Kataka. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maroons vs Kataka?
Maroons starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,404 vs 1,295).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maroons vs Kataka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maroons
Not enough data to predict the Maroons lineup.
Kataka
Not enough data to predict the Kataka lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maroons have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kataka have 0, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | UPDF(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Blacks Power(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Ntugasaze(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | BUL(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | UPDF(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Maroons score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kataka score 0.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maroons | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Kataka | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maroons sit 10th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Kataka sit 17th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Kataka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Maroons vs Kataka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maroons vs Kataka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maroons the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Kataka.
- Where and when is Maroons vs Kataka played?
- Maroons vs Kataka is played on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.