Marsa vs Mtarfa: result 2-0 and analysis
Challenge League1st Phase - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2022 at 08:00 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
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What was the result of Marsa vs Mtarfa?
Marsa won 2-0 on December 15, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marsa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mtarfa have 2, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | Marsaskala(away) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Nov 15, 2022 | Melita(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Zurrieq(away) | 1-3 | Challenge League |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Swieqi United(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Challenge League |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Vittoriosa Stars(away) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Nov 13, 2022 | St. Andrews(home) | 0-4 | Challenge League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Attard(away) | 1-3 | Challenge League |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Fgura United(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Marsa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mtarfa score 0.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mtarfa | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/14 | 7/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marsa sit 7th in Challenge League (17 points from 22 matches) and Mtarfa sit 16th (-2 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Marsa | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 38 | 17 |
| 16 | Mtarfa | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 67 | -2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy