Match

Marseille Endoume vs Toulon: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Roger Lebert, Marseille

Marseille EndoumeToulon

The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Marseille Endoume. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,211 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marseille Endoume vs Toulon?

Toulon starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,702).

10%16%74%
Marseille Endoume winDrawToulon win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marseille Endoume vs Toulon

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marseille Endoume

4-3-3
  1. 9Jérémy Bru
  2. 8Abdou Boura
  3. 11D. Sow
  1. 7H. Bacar
  2. 10Farés Nedjadi
  3. 2Sami Ousfane
  1. 6Cédric D'Ulivo
  2. 5Anthony Marin
  3. 3Pascal Puccinelli
  4. 4Jeremy Gastaldi
  1. 1B. Boina

Toulon

Not enough data to predict the Toulon lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille Endoume have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Toulon have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marseille Endoume
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 4, 2022Rousset-Ste Victoire(home)2-12National 3 - Group D
May 28, 2022Corte(away)0-3National 3 - Group D
May 21, 2022Nice II(home)0-2National 3 - Group D
May 14, 2022Istres(away)0-3National 3 - Group D
May 7, 2022Mandelieu LN(away)7-2National 3 - Group D
Toulon
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Limonest(home)1-0National 2 - Group C
Nov 6, 2026UF Touraine(away)0-2National 2 - Group C
Oct 31, 2026Hyères(home)0-0National 2 - Group C
Oct 17, 2026Hauts Lyonnais(away)0-0National 2 - Group C
Oct 3, 2026Troyes II(home)1-0National 2 - Group C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marseille Endoume wins, 2 draws, 0 Toulon wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 19, 2019Toulon 0-0 Marseille EndoumeNational 2 - Group A
Aug 25, 2018Marseille Endoume 1-1 ToulonNational 2 - Group A

Last archived meeting: Toulon vs Marseille Endoume on Jan 19, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Marseille Endoume score 1.4 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toulon score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marseille Endoume1.42.729/158/15
Toulon1.00.885/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Marseille Endoume vs Toulon?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marseille Endoume vs Toulon?
The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Marseille Endoume.
Where and when is Marseille Endoume vs Toulon played?
Marseille Endoume vs Toulon is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Roger Lebert, in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Marseille Endoume and Toulon