Marseille vs Lille: result 1-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 14, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Full time
What was the result of Marseille vs Lille?
Marseille and Lille drew 1-1 on December 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 17′Q. MerlinMarseille
- 87′B. DiakitéLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lille have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | Saint Etienne(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Monaco(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Lens(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Auxerre(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Nantes(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2024 | Sturm Graz(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Montpellier(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Bologna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Rennes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marseille win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | Lille 3-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Lille 2-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Marseille 2-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Lille 2-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Lille | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 1st in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Lille sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy