Marseille vs Sporting CP: result 4-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup D - 3Kick-off on October 4, 2022 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Full time
What was the result of Marseille vs Sporting CP?
Marseille won 4-1 on October 4, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 1′TrincãoSporting CP
- 13′A. SánchezMarseille
- 16′A. HaritMarseille
- 28′L. BalerdiMarseille
- 84′C. MbembaMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting CP have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2022 | Angers(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Rennes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Lille(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Tottenham(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2022 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Boavista(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Tottenham(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Portimonense(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting CP | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Sporting CP sit 7th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy