Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,079 Elo points against 1,649, a 430-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marumo Gallants
4-1-4-1- 38Samkele Sihlali
- 15N. Ndlondlo
- 18M. Ndlovu
- 13K. Ncube
- 8S. Mbhele
- 5D. Manaka
- 3S. Ntiya-Ntiya
- 22M. Rikhotso
- 44M. Sikakane
- 37N. Ralenkoane
- 30E.Lako
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 13I. Rayners
- 4T. Mokoena
- 11M. Allende
- 17T. Matthews
- 33C. Mailula
- 38S. Mthanti
- 3K. Ndamane
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 22T. Matuludi
- 23F. Basadien
- 30R. Williams
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants have 0 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Marumo Gallants wins, 2 draws, 4 Mamelodi Sundowns wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Marumo Gallants | League Cup |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 Marumo Gallants | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 1-3 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants on Oct 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants sit 16th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 8 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
A question about Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.