Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 16Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,202 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,066 Elo points against 1,640, a 427-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 12B. León
- 4T. Mokoena
- 11M. Allende
- 17T. Matthews
- 27T. Morena
- 33C. Mailula
- 3K. Ndamane
- 22T. Matuludi
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 23F. Basadien
- 30R. Williams
Known absences
T. ZwaneOut · Suspended (red card)
Marumo Gallants
4-1-4-1- 38Samkele Sihlali
- 15N. Ndlondlo
- 18M. Ndlovu
- 13K. Ncube
- 8S. Mbhele
- 5D. Manaka
- 3S. Ntiya-Ntiya
- 22M. Rikhotso
- 44M. Sikakane
- 37N. Ralenkoane
- 30E.Lako
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Marumo Gallants have 0, 9 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mamelodi Sundowns wins, 2 draws, 0 Marumo Gallants wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 Marumo Gallants | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 1-3 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Marumo Gallants 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants is played on October 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.