Masr vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Masr. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Masr vs Al Ahly?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Masr have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al Ahly have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wadi Degla(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 29, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Masr win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Al Ahly win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Al Ahly 1-1 Masr | Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Masr 0-1 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Al Ahly 2-1 Masr | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Masr 0-1 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Masr 0-3 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Al Ahly 3-1 Masr | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Masr score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masr | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Ahly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Masr sit 14th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahly sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Masr | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Masr vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Masr.
- Where and when is Masr vs Al Ahly played?
- Masr vs Al Ahly is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Cairo International Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.