Masr vs ASAS: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for ASAS. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Masr vs ASAS?
Masr is a heavy favourite: 1,842 Elo points against 1,468 — a 374-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Masr have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; ASAS have 1, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wadi Degla(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 29, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Aigle Noir(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Aigle Noir(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Red Arrows(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 13, 2024 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Masr score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ASAS score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masr | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| ASAS | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 4/12 | 3/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Masr vs ASAS?
- The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for ASAS.
- Where and when is Masr vs ASAS played?
- Masr vs ASAS is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cairo International Stadium, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.