Matebele vs Orapa United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BPSC Stadium, Gaborone
The Footlab AI model makes Orapa United the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Matebele. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orapa United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Matebele vs Orapa United?
Orapa United starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,482 vs 1,322).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Matebele vs Orapa United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Matebele
Not enough data to predict the Matebele lineup.
Orapa United
4-2-3-1- 17G. Mabaya
- 14R. Ratlhogo
- 6Koketso Majafi
- 9N. Azende
- 18O. Sekwai
- 20B. Ballie
- 15Ivan Kamberipa
- 24T. Kebue
- 8B. Sakana
- 25G. Osego
- 16L. Malapela
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matebele have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Orapa United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Prisons XI(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Township Rollers(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TAFIC(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonota(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Enesia(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Galaxy(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Township Rollers(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | BDF XI(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Police XI(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Matebele win, 2 draws, 3 Orapa United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Orapa United 1-1 Matebele | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Matebele 0-3 Orapa United | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Orapa United 2-2 Matebele | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Matebele 0-1 Orapa United | Premier League |
| May 8, 2024 | Orapa United 1-2 Matebele | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Matebele 1-2 Orapa United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Orapa United vs Matebele on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Matebele score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Orapa United score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matebele | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Orapa United | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Matebele sit 13th in Premier League (4 points from 6 matches) and Orapa United sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Orapa United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | Matebele | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Matebele vs Orapa United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Matebele vs Orapa United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Orapa United the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Matebele.
- Where and when is Matebele vs Orapa United played?
- Matebele vs Orapa United is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BPSC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.