Mátészalka vs Kisvárda II: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, Mátészalka
The Footlab model makes Kisvárda II the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Mátészalka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mátészalka vs Kisvárda II?
Kisvárda II starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (1,590 vs 1,310).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mátészalka have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Kisvárda II have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Füzesabony(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Diósgyőr II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mátészalka(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Gödöllő(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Mátészalka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kisvárda II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kisvárda II 1-1 Mátészalka | NB III - Northeast |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Kisvárda II 2-1 Mátészalka | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Mátészalka 0-2 Kisvárda II | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Kisvárda II vs Mátészalka on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mátészalka score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kisvárda II score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mátészalka | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kisvárda II | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mátészalka sit 6th in NB III - Northeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Kisvárda II sit 5th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kisvárda II | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Mátészalka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mátészalka vs Kisvárda II?
- The Footlab model makes Kisvárda II the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Mátészalka.
- Where and when is Mátészalka vs Kisvárda II played?
- Mátészalka vs Kisvárda II is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.