Mátészalka vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, Mátészalka
The Footlab AI model makes Mátészalka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mátészalka wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mátészalka vs Tarpa?
On Elo ratings, Mátészalka has 1,330 points and Tarpa 1,390.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mátészalka vs Tarpa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mátészalka
Not enough data to predict the Mátészalka lineup.
Tarpa
Not enough data to predict the Tarpa lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mátészalka have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tarpa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cigand SE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eger(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kozarmisleny FC(home) | 1-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Mátészalka wins, 0 draws, 1 Tarpa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tarpa 2-1 Mátészalka | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Mátészalka score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mátészalka | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Tarpa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mátészalka sit 9th in NB III - Northeast (16 points from 11 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mátészalka | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 6 |
A question about Mátészalka vs Tarpa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mátészalka vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mátészalka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Mátészalka vs Tarpa played?
- Mátészalka vs Tarpa is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.