Mathare United vs Tusker: result 2-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 27, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
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What was the result of Mathare United vs Tusker?
Mathare United won 2-1 on April 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 35′D. OjokTusker
- 47′?Mathare United
- 76′?Mathare United (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mathare United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tusker have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Bidco United(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Nairobi City Stars(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Nairobi United(away) | 1-1 | Shield Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mathare United win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Tusker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | Tusker 2-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Mathare United 0-2 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Tusker 2-1 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2021 | Tusker 4-1 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2021 | Mathare United 0-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Tusker 1-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tusker vs Mathare United on Dec 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mathare United score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 1.0 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tusker | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mathare United sit 14th in FKF Premier League (41 points from 34 matches) and Tusker sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 35 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy