Mauritania vs Burkina Faso: result 1-0 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on August 13, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Full time
What was the result of Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
Mauritania won 1-0 on August 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′Alassane DiopMauritania (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mauritania have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Burkina Faso have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Central African Republic(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Madagascar(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Burundi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Central African Republic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2025 | Central African Republic(home) | 4-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Mauritania win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Burkina Faso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Mauritania 1-2 Burkina Faso | Friendlies |
| Dec 30, 2021 | Mauritania 0-0 Burkina Faso | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2019 | Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Mauritania 2-0 Burkina Faso | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Burkina Faso vs Mauritania on Jan 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mauritania score 0.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Burkina Faso score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauritania | 0.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Burkina Faso | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mauritania sit 3rd in African Nations Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Burkina Faso sit 4th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mauritania | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Burkina Faso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy