Morocco vs Zambia: result 3-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on August 14, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Morocco vs Zambia?
Morocco won 3-1 on August 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′M. HrimatMorocco
- 66′O. LamlaouiMorocco
- 70′A. PhiriZambia
- 90′S. BougrineMorocco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morocco have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Zambia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Kenya(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Angola(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Benin(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Tunisia(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Angola(home) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Congo DR(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Botswana(away) | 3-3 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Russia(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Morocco win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Zambia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2024 | Morocco 2-1 Zambia | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Zambia 0-1 Morocco | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Morocco 3-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 16, 2019 | Morocco 2-3 Zambia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Morocco score 2.9 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zambia score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 2.9 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Zambia | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morocco sit 2nd in African Nations Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Zambia sit 5th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Zambia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy