Mauritania vs Guinea: result 0-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 21, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
Full time
What was the result of Mauritania vs Guinea?
Guinea won 0-1 on January 21, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 15′I. SankhonGuinea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mauritania have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Guinea have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2018 | Sudan(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Morocco(away) | 0-4 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 6, 2017 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Niger(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Aug 18, 2017 | Mali(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2018 | Morocco(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Sudan(home) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Congo DR(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Tunisia(home) | 1-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2017 | Libya(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Mauritania score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea score 2.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauritania | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Guinea | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mauritania sit 3rd in African Nations Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Guinea sit 4th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mauritania | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy